From: General practitioner workforce planning: assessment of four policy directions
Intervention model | Year | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  |  | 2011 | 2016 | 2021 | |||
 |  |  | GPs | (% of demand)* | GPs | (% of demand) | GPs | (% of demand) |
Demand | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 | Numbers needed to meet population demand |  | 2626 | - | 2825 | - | 3010 | - |
Supply | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 | Continue current method of GP recruitment |  | 2560 | (97.6) | 2629 | (93.3) | 2828 | (94.3) |
 | Increase training places by 20% in 2011 |  | 2560 | (97.6) | 2660 | (94.3) | 2988 | (99.7)** |
 | Import GPs from abroad | (average 10 per annum) | 2587 | (98.7)** | 2698 | (95.8) | 2938 | (98.3)** |
 |  | (average 20 per annum) | 2614 | (99.8)** | 2781 | (98.9)** | 3064 | (102.9)** |
 | Late retirement | (average extra 1 year) | 2611 | (99.6)** | 2692 | (95.4) | 2880 | (95.7) |
 |  | (average extra 2 years) | 2652 | (101.0)** | 2751 | (97.5) | 2934 | (97.6) |
 | Nurse substitution (average 50 nurses per annum) | (nurse equivalent to 0.25 GPs) | 2704 | (98.8)** | 3009 | (96.5) | 3428 | (99.3)** |
 |  | (nurse equivalent to 0.50 GPs) | 2706 | (100.4)** | 3006 | (99.9)** | 3426 | (104.3)** |